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Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast
Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast

Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast

This show delivers daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days. Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments: 2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets 2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals 2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners  2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders  2023 College Football - Kota Capper College Football Central Lock, Underdog, and Unit Champ 2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets 2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays) 2024 NBA Prop Bets - 57.2%, up 33.93 units Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets) Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together.  Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit.  Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms.  Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it.  Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams.  Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.

Available Episodes 10

This show is sponsored by BetterHelp. Give online therapy a try at https://betterhelp.com/playme and get on your way to being your best self.


Underdog Promo Code: PLAYME

Signup Link: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-play-me-or-fade-me


Support the Show/Community Best Bet Newsletter:

https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership


Today's Card:

Play 1: NFL Cleveland +3.5 vs. Pittsburgh (-110)

Play 2: NFL Nick Chubb Over 14.5 rushing attempts (-115)

Play 3: CFB NC State/Georgia Tech 1H Under 26.5 (-112)

Play 4: CBB Baylor -2.5 vs. St. John's (-110)

Play 5: CBB UC San Diego +2 vs. La Salle (-112)

Play 6: CBB Ohio -1.5 vs. Middle Tennessee (-108)

Play 7: CBB Valparaiso -10.5 vs. Lindenwood (-112)

Play 8: CBB Indiana -17.5 vs. UNC Greensboro (-108)

Play 9: NBA Minnesota -6.5 at Toronto (-112)


YTD Results - Active:

NFL Props: 45-20 (69.2%), up 21.0887 units

College Basketball: 54-39, (58.1%), up 9.7646 units

PGA Golf: 55-47 (53.9%), up 3.5389 units

NFL Totals: 2-2 (50.0%), down 0.3217 units

NFL Parlays: 0-1 (0%), down 1 unit

NBA Sides: 4-7, (36.4%), down 3.3468

NFL Sides: 30-33 (47.6%), down 6.0005 units

NBA Prop Bets: 8-11, (42.1%), down 4.1009 units

NHL: 12-20, (37.5%), down 10.4111 units

College Football: 69-83 (46.1%), down 20.6606 units


College Basketball 2-point or less record vs. spread:

5-5, 50%


@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:

Other: 33-30, 52.4%, up 2.3273 units

CBB: 2-4, 33%, down 2 units


Action - CFB Futures:

Minnesota Over 5.5 wins (+100) - currently 6-4 **WINNER

Virginia Tech Over 8 (-130) - currently 5-5 *LOSER

South Florida Over 7 (-150) - currently 5-5

Sam Houston Over 4.5 (-125) - currently 8-2 **WINNER

Colorado State Over 6 (-145) - currently 7-3 **WINNER

Texas State Over 8 (-135) - currently 6-4


Podcast Accomplishments:

NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units

2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units

2024 NBA Prop Bets: Won 33.92773 units

NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season

Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)

NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021

NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021

MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022


Contact Me:

X: @MrActionJunkie1

Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This show is sponsored by BetterHelp. Give online therapy a try at https://betterhelp.com/playme and get on your way to being your best self.


Underdog Entry:

Darius Garland Higher than 1.5 made 3-pointers

Grant Nelson Higher than 12.5 points


Underdog Promo Code: PLAYME

Signup Link: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-play-me-or-fade-me


Support the Show/Community Best Bet Newsletter:

https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This show is sponsored by BetterHelp. Give online therapy a try at https://betterhelp.com/playme and get on your way to being your best self.


Underdog Promo Code: PLAYME

Signup Link: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-play-me-or-fade-me


Support the Show/Community Best Bet Newsletter:

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Today's Card:

Play 1: CBB Alabama -8 vs. Illinois (-110)

Play 2: CBB Richmond -5.5 vs. Maine (-115)

Play 3: CBB Georgetown -12.5 vs. Mount St. Mary's (-110)

Play 4: CBB Fresno State -12.5 vs. Prairie View A&M (-112)

Play 5: CBB UNLV -16.5 vs. Pepperdine (-105)

Play 6: CFB Buffalo/Eastern Michigan Over 51 (-112)

Play 7: CFB Toledo -2 vs. Ohio (-110)

Play 8: NBA Philadelphia -2.5 at Memphis (-108)

Play 9: NHL Carolina/Philadelphia 1P O1.5 (-145)


YTD Results - Active:

NFL Props: 45-20 (69.2%), up 21.0887 units

College Basketball: 51-37, (57.9%), up 8.994 units

PGA Golf: 55-47 (53.9%), up 3.5389 units

NFL Totals: 2-2 (50.0%), down 0.3217 units

NFL Parlays: 0-1 (0%), down 1 unit

NBA Sides: 4-6, (40.0%), down 2.3468

NFL Sides: 30-33 (47.6%), down 6.0005 units

NBA Prop Bets: 8-11, (42.1%), down 4.1009 units

NHL: 12-19, (38.7%), down 9.4111 units

College Football: 68-82 (46.1%), down 20.5535 units


College Basketball 2-point or less record vs. spread:

5-3, 63%


@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:

Other: 33-30, 52.4%, up 2.3273 units

CBB: 2-4, 33%, down 2 units


Action - CFB Futures:

Minnesota Over 5.5 wins (+100) - currently 6-4 **WINNER

Virginia Tech Over 8 (-130) - currently 5-5 *LOSER

South Florida Over 7 (-150) - currently 5-5

Sam Houston Over 4.5 (-125) - currently 8-2 **WINNER

Colorado State Over 6 (-145) - currently 7-3 **WINNER

Texas State Over 8 (-135) - currently 6-4


Podcast Accomplishments:

NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units

2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units

2024 NBA Prop Bets: Won 33.92773 units

NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season

Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)

NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021

NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021

MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022


Contact Me:

X: @MrActionJunkie1

Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This show is sponsored by BetterHelp. Give online therapy a try at https://betterhelp.com/playme and get on your way to being your best self.


Underdog Entry:

Lauri Markkanen Higher than 19.5 points

Stevie Mitchell Higher than 11.5 points


Underdog Promo Code: PLAYME

Signup Link: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-play-me-or-fade-me


Support the Show/Community Best Bet Newsletter:

https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This show is sponsored by BetterHelp. Give online therapy a try at https://betterhelp.com/playme and get on your way to being your best self.


Underdog Promo Code: PLAYME

Signup Link: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-play-me-or-fade-me


Support the Show/Community Best Bet Newsletter:

https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership


Today's Card:

Play 1: CFB Kent State Team Total Under 18.5 vs Akron (-120)

Play 2: CFB Central Michigan/Western Michigan Over 56.5 (-110)

Play 3: CFB Miami (OH) -2.5 vs. Northern Illinois (-110)

Play 4: CBB Kansas State -36.5 vs. Mississippi Valley State (-112)

Play 5: CBB Rider/Iowa Over 156.5 (-108)


YTD Results - Active:

NFL Props: 45-20 (69.2%), up 21.0887 units

College Basketball: 51-37, (57.9%), up 8.994 units

PGA Golf: 55-47 (53.9%), up 3.5389 units

NFL Totals: 2-2 (50.0%), down 0.3217 units

NFL Parlays: 0-1 (0%), down 1 unit

NBA Sides: 4-6, (40.0%), down 2.3468

NFL Sides: 30-33 (47.6%), down 6.0005 units

NBA Prop Bets: 8-11, (42.1%), down 4.1009 units

NHL: 12-19, (38.7%), down 9.4111 units

College Football: 68-82 (46.1%), down 20.5535 units


College Basketball 2-point or less record vs. spread:

5-3, 63%


@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:

Other: 31-29, 51.7%, up 1.3273 units

CBB: 2-2, 50%, up 0 units


Action - CFB Futures:

Minnesota Over 5.5 wins (+100) - currently 6-4 **WINNER

Virginia Tech Over 8 (-130) - currently 5-5 *LOSER

South Florida Over 7 (-150) - currently 5-5

Sam Houston Over 4.5 (-125) - currently 8-2 **WINNER

Colorado State Over 6 (-145) - currently 7-3 **WINNER

Texas State Over 8 (-135) - currently 6-4


Podcast Accomplishments:

NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units

2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units

2024 NBA Prop Bets: Won 33.92773 units

NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season

Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)

NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021

NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021

MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022


Contact Me:

X: @MrActionJunkie1

Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Underdog Entry:

Dalton Schultz Higher than 2.5 receptions

Tobias Harris Higher than 14 points


Underdog Promo Code: PLAYME

Signup Link: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-play-me-or-fade-me


Support the Show/Community Best Bet Newsletter:

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Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Underdog Promo Code: PLAYME

Signup Link: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-play-me-or-fade-me


Support the Show/Community Best Bet Newsletter:

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Today's Card:

Play 1: NFL Dallas Cowboys +7 vs. Houston Texans (+100)

Play 2: NFL Dalton Schultz Over 2.5 receptions (-125)

Play 3: CBB McNeese -2.5 vs. North Texas (-115)

Play 4: CBB Cal St Fullerton +1.5 vs. Idaho State (-112)

Play 5: CBB Southern Illinois -6.5 vs. North Dakota State (-120)

Play 6: CBB Montana +17.5 at Utah State (-102)

Play 7: NHL Edmonton/Montreal 1P Over 1.5 (-145)


YTD Results - Active:

NFL Props: 44-20 (68.8%), up 20.2887 units

College Basketball: 47-37, (55.9%), up 5.4178 units

PGA Golf: 55-47 (53.9%), up 3.5389 units

NFL Totals: 2-2 (50.0%), down 0.3217 units

NFL Parlays: 0-1 (0%), down 1 unit

NBA Sides: 4-6, (40.0%), down 2.3468

NFL Sides: 30-32 (48.4%), down 5.0005 units

NBA Prop Bets: 8-11, (42.1%), down 4.1009 units

NHL: 12-18, (40.0%), down 8.4111 units

College Football: 68-82 (46.1%), down 20.5535 units


College Basketball 2-point or less record vs. spread:

5-3, 63%


@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:

Other: 31-29, 51.7%, up 1.3273 units

CBB: 2-2, 50%, up 0 units


Action - CFB Futures:

Minnesota Over 5.5 wins (+100) - currently 6-4 **WINNER

Virginia Tech Over 8 (-130) - currently 5-5 *LOSER

South Florida Over 7 (-150) - currently 5-5

Sam Houston Over 4.5 (-125) - currently 8-2 **WINNER

Colorado State Over 6 (-145) - currently 7-3 **WINNER

Texas State Over 8 (-135) - currently 6-4


Podcast Accomplishments:

NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units

2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units

2024 NBA Prop Bets: Won 33.92773 units

NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season

Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)

NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021

NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021

MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022


Contact Me:

X: @MrActionJunkie1

Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Have an idea for a future topic? X: @KotaCapperPace or email mractionjunkie@gmail.com

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Underdog Promo Code: PLAYME

Signup Link: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-play-me-or-fade-me


Support the Show/Community Best Bet Newsletter:

https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership


Today's Card:

Play 1: CFB Navy +7.5 vs. Tulane (-115)

Play 2: CFB Florida Atlantic +2.5 at Temple (-102)

Play 3: CFB Illinois -2.5 vs. Michigan State (-110)

Play 4: CFB South Florida -2.5 vs. Charlotte (-112)

Play 5: CFB LSU -3.5 at Florida (-110)

Play 6: CFB West Virginia +1.5 vs. Baylor (-110)

Play 7: CFB Tennessee/Georgia 1H Under 23.5 (-102)

Play 8: CBB Georgetown +2.5 vs. Notre Dame (-105)

Play 9: CBB Indiana -7 vs. South Carolina (-105)

Play 10: CBB Xavier -5.5 vs. Wake Forest (-110)

Play 11: CBB UMass -5.5 vs. Hofstra (-110)

Play 12: CBB Ball State -5 vs. Indiana State (-110)

Play 13: CBB Syracuse -11.5 vs. Youngstown State (-110)

Play 14: CBB Cal State Bakersfield -1.5 vs. Fresno State (-110)

Play 15: CBB Bucknell +2 vs. Richmond (-110)

Play 16: CBB Drexel +2.5 vs. La Salle (-110)

Play 17: CBB Oklahoma -25 vs. Stetson (-112)


Podcast Card for Sunday

Play 1: CBB Boise State vs. Clemson

Play 2: NFL Xavier Worthy Over 25.5 receiving yards (-115)

Play 3: NFL Brian Thomas Over 44.5 receiving yards (-115)

Play 4: NFL Rome Odunze Over 33.5 receiving yards (-115)

Play 5: NFL New Orleans +1 vs. Cleveland (-112)

Play 6: NFL Tennessee +6 vs. Minnesota (-112)

Play 7: NFL Cincinnati +1.5 at LA Chargers (-110)


YTD Results - Active:

NFL Props: 41-20 (67.2%), up 17.6799 units

College Basketball: 42-31, (57.5%), up 6.829 units

PGA Golf: 55-47 (53.9%), up 3.5389 units

NFL Totals: 2-2 (50.0%), down 0.3217 units

NFL Parlays: 0-1 (0%), down 1 unit

NBA Sides: 4-6, (40.0%), down 2.3468

NFL Sides: 29-30 (49.1%), down 3.9096 units

NBA Prop Bets: 8-11, (42.1%), down 4.1009 units

NHL: 12-18, (40.0%), down 8.4111 units

College Football: 66-77 (46.1%), down 17.3717 units


College Basketball 2-point or less record vs. spread:

5-2, 71%


@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:

Other: 31-29, 51.7%, up 1.3273 units

CBB: 2-2, 50%, up 0 units


Action - CFB Futures:

Minnesota Over 5.5 wins (+100) - currently 6-4 *WINNER

Virginia Tech Over 8 (-130) - currently 5-5 *LOSER

South Florida Over 7 (-150) - currently 4-5

Sam Houston Over 4.5 (-125) - currently 6-2 **WINNER

Colorado State Over 6 (-145) - currently 6-3

Texas State Over 8 (-135) - currently 5-4


Podcast Accomplishments:

NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units

2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units

2024 NBA Prop Bets: Won 33.92773 units

NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season

Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)

NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021

NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021

MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022


Contact Me:

X: @MrActionJunkie1

Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Underdog Entry:

Mike Tyson Lower than 0.5 knockouts

Kyle Kuzma Higher than 18.5 points


Underdog Promo Code: PLAYME

Signup Link: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-play-me-or-fade-me


Support the Show/Community Best Bet Newsletter:

https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices